Birmingham City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
36.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1968 |
PNE
0 - 0
BIR
31%
25%
44%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1968 |
BIR
3 - 1
DER
65%
19%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1968 |
ROT
1 - 1
BIR
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1968 |
BIR
0 - 0
NOR
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1968 |
OPA
1 - 2
BIR
53%
22%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1968 |
SHW
2 - 2
CHL
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1968 |
WHU
0 - 1
CHL
55%
22%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1968 |
CHL
0 - 0
LEE
45%
27%
28%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1968 |
CHL
4 - 1
LEI
55%
23%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1968 |
MUD
1 - 3
CHL
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | +1 |