Birmingham City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
41.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1964 |
LEE
4 - 1
BIR
58%
21%
21%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1964 |
BIR
2 - 3
ARS
38%
22%
40%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1964 |
BBU
3 - 1
BIR
71%
16%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1964 |
BIR
3 - 0
BPO
48%
23%
29%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1964 |
SHW
5 - 2
BIR
69%
17%
14%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1964 |
CHL
5 - 1
EVE
45%
23%
32%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1964 |
CHL
3 - 2
SWA
81%
12%
7%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1964 |
SHE
0 - 2
CHL
40%
25%
35%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1964 |
CHL
0 - 1
BUR
55%
21%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1964 |
TOT
1 - 1
CHL
68%
17%
15%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |