Birmingham City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
31.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1964 |
BPO
3 - 0
BIR
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1964 |
BIR
2 - 2
BBU
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1964 |
WOL
5 - 1
BIR
65%
19%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 1964 |
BIR
1 - 2
TOT
22%
21%
57%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1964 |
LIV
2 - 1
BIR
71%
16%
13%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1964 |
MUD
1 - 1
CHL
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1964 |
CHL
3 - 1
WBA
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1964 |
ARS
2 - 4
CHL
70%
16%
14%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1964 |
CHL
1 - 2
FUL
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1964 |
STO
2 - 0
CHL
44%
24%
33%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |