Birmingham City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1949 |
SUN
1 - 1
BIR
58%
23%
18%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
BIR
0 - 1
ASV
37%
26%
36%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1949 |
DER
1 - 0
BIR
72%
17%
12%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1949 |
BIR
3 - 0
OPA
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1949 |
BIR
1 - 1
BPO
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1949 |
WOL
1 - 1
CHL
73%
15%
12%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1949 |
BOL
1 - 1
CHL
57%
21%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
CHL
0 - 1
SUN
57%
21%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1949 |
ARS
1 - 2
CHL
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1949 |
CHL
1 - 1
MAC
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |