Birmingham City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1948 |
BIR
0 - 0
MID
44%
23%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1948 |
WOL
2 - 2
BIR
81%
12%
7%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1948 |
BIR
0 - 0
TOT
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1948 |
SHW
0 - 0
BIR
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1948 |
LEI
0 - 0
BIR
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1948 |
NEW
2 - 2
CHL
53%
21%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1948 |
CHL
1 - 0
MID
49%
21%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1948 |
OPA
2 - 1
CHL
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1948 |
CHL
0 - 2
BUR
59%
21%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1948 |
MUD
5 - 0
CHL
74%
15%
11%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |