Birmingham City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
23.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1939 |
BIR
2 - 1
BPO
53%
22%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1939 |
BRE
0 - 1
BIR
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1939 |
BIR
0 - 0
LIV
49%
22%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1939 |
BIR
1 - 2
ARS
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1939 |
LIV
4 - 0
BIR
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1939 |
CHL
1 - 0
OPA
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1939 |
HUR
3 - 1
CHL
54%
22%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1939 |
CHL
1 - 3
CHA
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1939 |
CHL
0 - 2
EVE
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1939 |
CHA
2 - 0
CHL
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |