Birmingham City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1934 |
LIV
5 - 4
BIR
67%
18%
16%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1934 |
BIR
2 - 1
OPA
46%
25%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1934 |
ARS
5 - 1
BIR
76%
15%
9%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1934 |
BIR
1 - 0
BBU
44%
23%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1934 |
MID
0 - 1
BIR
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1934 |
CHL
2 - 1
HUR
40%
24%
36%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1934 |
EVE
3 - 2
CHL
70%
17%
14%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1934 |
CHL
2 - 0
GRI
50%
22%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1934 |
PNE
2 - 0
CHL
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1934 |
CHL
1 - 3
TOT
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |