Birmingham City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1934 |
BIR
3 - 0
SHW
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1934 |
SUN
4 - 1
BIR
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1934 |
BIR
3 - 0
LEI
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1934 |
BIR
3 - 1
OPA
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1934 |
LIV
4 - 1
BIR
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1934 |
CHL
4 - 0
OPA
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1934 |
CHL
3 - 2
WBA
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1934 |
OPA
0 - 2
CHL
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1934 |
DER
1 - 0
CHL
70%
17%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1934 |
CHL
0 - 1
SHW
38%
24%
39%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |