Birmingham City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1930 |
ASV
1 - 1
BIR
73%
16%
12%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1930 |
BIR
1 - 1
BPO
53%
22%
26%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1930 |
BBU
2 - 1
BIR
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1930 |
BIR
2 - 4
ARS
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1930 |
OPA
2 - 2
BIR
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1930 |
CHL
1 - 0
SHE
35%
24%
41%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1930 |
HUR
1 - 1
CHL
64%
21%
16%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1930 |
CHL
4 - 0
MID
35%
24%
42%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1930 |
LIV
3 - 1
CHL
72%
17%
12%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1930 |
CHL
0 - 1
BOL
36%
24%
40%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |