Birmingham City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1921 |
BUR
3 - 1
BIR
76%
15%
10%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1921 |
CHL
1 - 2
BIR
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1921 |
BIR
2 - 3
BUR
42%
27%
30%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1921 |
POR
0 - 2
BIR
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1921 |
BIR
4 - 0
POR
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1921 |
CHL
1 - 0
BBU
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1921 |
CHL
1 - 2
BIR
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1921 |
BBU
1 - 1
CHL
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1921 |
CHL
1 - 2
BBU
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1921 |
BBU
0 - 0
CHL
70%
17%
13%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |