Birmingham City vs Charlton Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
38.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1949 |
MAC
4 - 0
BIR
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1949 |
BIR
1 - 1
FUL
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1949 |
NEW
3 - 1
BIR
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1949 |
BIR
0 - 2
BPO
34%
27%
40%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1949 |
MID
1 - 0
BIR
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Charlton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1949 |
CHA
0 - 0
BOL
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1949 |
ARS
2 - 3
CHA
74%
15%
11%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1949 |
CHA
1 - 3
LIV
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1949 |
SUN
2 - 1
CHA
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1949 |
CHA
1 - 1
BUR
64%
20%
17%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |