Birmingham City vs Cambridge United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
8.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
BIR
3 - 0
WAL
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
TOT
1 - 0
BIR
84%
12%
4%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
BIR
0 - 2
LEI
15%
21%
64%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
BIR
1 - 1
CHA
43%
24%
33%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
BIR
1 - 3
DER
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cambridge United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
LEY
2 - 1
CAM
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CAM
1 - 2
CUM
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
PLY
0 - 0
CAM
71%
19%
11%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
CAM
2 - 1
BRA
38%
28%
34%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
SCU
0 - 2
CAM
62%
22%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |