Birmingham City vs Cambridge United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
MID
2 - 0
BIR
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
BIR
3 - 1
ICT
42%
24%
34%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
NOT
0 - 4
BIR
31%
24%
45%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
KID
0 - 3
BIR
29%
24%
47%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 1
BIR
17%
21%
62%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Cambridge United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
CAM
1 - 0
PLY
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
YEL
1 - 3
CAM
15%
24%
61%
|
58 | 27 | 31 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
CAM
3 - 1
MKD
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
CAM
2 - 1
GAT
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CAM
2 - 0
HAL
40%
25%
35%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +2 |