Birmingham City vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1929 |
SHE
3 - 2
BIR
63%
18%
18%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1929 |
BIR
0 - 0
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1929 |
BUR
4 - 0
BIR
59%
20%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1929 |
BIR
1 - 0
OPA
53%
23%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1929 |
BIR
0 - 0
NEW
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1929 |
BCF
1 - 2
MAC
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1929 |
HUR
0 - 2
BCF
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1929 |
BCF
1 - 2
EVE
49%
22%
29%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1929 |
MUD
1 - 0
BCF
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1929 |
ARS
7 - 1
BCF
62%
20%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |