Birmingham City vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
14.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1907 |
BCF
1 - 0
BIR
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1907 |
BIR
2 - 0
PNE
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1907 |
MID
1 - 0
BIR
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1907 |
BCF
1 - 0
BIR
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1907 |
BIR
1 - 1
SHW
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1907 |
BCF
1 - 0
BIR
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1907 |
BCF
3 - 2
ARS
50%
23%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1907 |
BOL
3 - 6
BCF
77%
14%
10%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1907 |
BBU
1 - 0
BCF
65%
18%
17%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1907 |
BCF
1 - 0
BIR
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |