Birmingham City vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
10.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1906 |
SHW
0 - 1
BIR
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1906 |
BIR
5 - 1
ARS
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1906 |
EVE
3 - 0
BIR
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1906 |
BIR
2 - 1
DER
76%
14%
10%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1906 |
BIR
2 - 0
SUN
63%
19%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1906 |
BCF
2 - 3
SUN
51%
22%
27%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1906 |
BBU
4 - 1
BCF
58%
20%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1906 |
BCF
2 - 0
STO
67%
18%
16%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1906 |
MUD
2 - 4
BCF
71%
16%
13%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1906 |
BCF
2 - 3
BOL
47%
22%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |