Birmingham City vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
WOL
2 - 0
BIR
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1975 |
BIR
1 - 1
QPR
47%
25%
29%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1975 |
IPS
4 - 2
BIR
67%
20%
14%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1975 |
MID
2 - 0
BIR
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1975 |
BIR
0 - 1
EVE
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
BUR
4 - 4
NOR
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1975 |
DER
3 - 0
BUR
63%
20%
17%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1975 |
BUR
4 - 1
MID
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1975 |
IPS
0 - 0
BUR
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1975 |
WHU
3 - 2
BUR
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |