Birmingham City vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1949 |
PNE
0 - 0
BIR
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1949 |
CHL
2 - 0
BIR
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1948 |
NEW
1 - 0
BIR
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1948 |
BIR
2 - 0
NEW
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1948 |
BIR
0 - 1
WOL
33%
25%
42%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1949 |
BUR
0 - 0
MID
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1949 |
NEW
1 - 1
BUR
57%
21%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1949 |
BUR
2 - 1
OPA
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1948 |
STO
2 - 1
BUR
67%
19%
15%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1948 |
BUR
1 - 3
STO
42%
26%
31%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |