Birmingham City vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1926 |
LIV
2 - 2
BIR
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1926 |
MAC
2 - 4
BIR
62%
19%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1926 |
BIR
1 - 1
NEW
48%
26%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1926 |
LEI
1 - 0
BIR
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1926 |
NOT
3 - 0
BIR
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1926 |
BUR
1 - 2
MAC
49%
22%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1926 |
BUR
3 - 4
WBA
57%
23%
21%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1926 |
BUR
1 - 0
NEW
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1926 |
BUR
5 - 2
SUN
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1926 |
BBU
6 - 3
BUR
61%
20%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |