Birmingham City vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1924 |
PNE
1 - 0
BIR
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1924 |
BIR
1 - 0
NOT
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1924 |
BIR
2 - 1
CAR
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1924 |
BIR
1 - 0
BOL
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1924 |
SUN
4 - 0
BIR
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1924 |
BUR
1 - 1
LEE
71%
18%
12%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1924 |
BUR
3 - 5
BBU
57%
22%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1924 |
BUR
0 - 0
EVE
55%
23%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1924 |
PNE
0 - 2
BUR
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1924 |
BUR
0 - 0
CAR
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |