Birmingham City vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
29.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1924 |
MID
0 - 1
BIR
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1924 |
BIR
2 - 1
MID
51%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1924 |
BUR
1 - 2
BIR
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1924 |
NTT
1 - 1
BIR
46%
26%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1924 |
BIR
0 - 2
NTT
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1924 |
MAC
2 - 2
BUR
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1924 |
BUR
1 - 2
BIR
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1924 |
BUR
4 - 0
WBA
60%
22%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1924 |
WBA
0 - 3
BUR
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1924 |
PNE
5 - 0
BUR
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |