Birmingham City vs Bristol Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
8.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
BHA
1 - 0
BIR
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
BIR
1 - 1
BAR
69%
20%
12%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
BBU
2 - 3
BIR
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
WIG
0 - 0
BIR
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
BIR
0 - 0
NTT
54%
25%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
BRO
2 - 1
EXE
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 2
BRO
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
ROC
2 - 0
BRO
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
GUL
1 - 1
BRO
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
BRO
2 - 0
OPA
51%
25%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |