Birmingham City vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1938 |
ARS
3 - 1
BIR
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1938 |
BIR
2 - 0
OPA
53%
23%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1938 |
HUR
3 - 1
BIR
52%
23%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1938 |
BIR
1 - 0
EVE
44%
23%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1938 |
WOL
2 - 1
BIR
72%
16%
12%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1938 |
BRE
2 - 1
MID
53%
21%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1938 |
LEI
1 - 1
BRE
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1938 |
BRE
2 - 1
LIV
58%
20%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1938 |
LEE
3 - 2
BRE
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1938 |
BRE
2 - 2
BOL
61%
21%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |