Birmingham City vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
22.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1935 |
PNE
3 - 1
BIR
53%
23%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1935 |
BIR
4 - 0
OPA
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1935 |
SHW
3 - 1
BIR
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1935 |
LIV
1 - 2
BIR
74%
15%
12%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1935 |
BIR
2 - 1
CHL
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1935 |
BRE
2 - 1
ARS
34%
23%
43%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1935 |
MAC
2 - 1
BRE
78%
13%
10%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1935 |
BRE
0 - 0
STO
44%
22%
34%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1935 |
OPA
1 - 3
BRE
62%
19%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1935 |
BRE
2 - 2
SHW
27%
22%
51%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |