Birmingham City vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
NEW
2 - 1
BIR
68%
20%
13%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
FUL
2 - 3
BIR
55%
25%
21%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
BIR
2 - 0
MID
35%
28%
37%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
BIR
4 - 0
WBA
59%
24%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
ASV
1 - 2
BIR
59%
24%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
BOL
1 - 1
WBA
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
BOL
0 - 1
BBU
49%
24%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
MUD
2 - 0
BOL
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
BOL
0 - 1
MAC
46%
25%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
NOR
3 - 2
BOL
33%
27%
41%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |