Birmingham City vs Bolton Wanderers analysis

Birmingham City Bolton Wanderers
82 ELO 80
4.2% Tilt -15.9%
661º General ELO ranking 1029º
30º Country ELO ranking 39º
ELO win probability
68%
Birmingham City
17.6%
Draw
14.5%
Bolton Wanderers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
Birmingham City
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
14.5%
Win probability
Bolton Wanderers
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Birmingham City
+21%
-7%
Bolton Wanderers

ELO progression

Birmingham City
Bolton Wanderers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Birmingham City
Birmingham City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 1956
WOL
Wolves
3 - 0
Birmingham City
BIR
72%
16%
12%
82 84 2 0
22 Sep. 1956
BIR
Birmingham City
2 - 1
Cardiff City
CAR
70%
17%
13%
82 77 5 0
15 Sep. 1956
CHL
Chelsea
1 - 0
Birmingham City
BIR
53%
23%
24%
82 80 2 0
08 Sep. 1956
BIR
Birmingham City
3 - 0
Preston North End
PNE
62%
19%
20%
82 80 2 0
05 Sep. 1956
BIR
Birmingham City
6 - 1
Newcastle
NEW
58%
19%
23%
81 80 1 +1

Matches

Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 1956
ASV
Aston Villa
0 - 0
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
58%
21%
21%
80 79 1 0
22 Sep. 1956
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
0 - 3
Wolves
WOL
45%
23%
32%
81 84 3 -1
20 Sep. 1956
CHA
Charlton Athletic
2 - 1
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
53%
22%
25%
81 77 4 0
15 Sep. 1956
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
2 - 0
Cardiff City
CAR
64%
19%
17%
81 78 3 0
12 Sep. 1956
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
2 - 0
Charlton Athletic
CHA
57%
20%
23%
80 77 3 +1