Birmingham City vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 1936 |
BRE
0 - 1
BIR
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1936 |
BIR
2 - 0
LIV
49%
23%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1936 |
CHL
0 - 0
BIR
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1936 |
STO
3 - 1
BIR
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1936 |
BIR
4 - 2
BBU
50%
21%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 1936 |
BOL
1 - 2
STO
54%
22%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1936 |
LIV
1 - 1
BOL
67%
17%
16%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1936 |
BOL
4 - 3
ASV
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1936 |
MID
0 - 0
BOL
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1936 |
BOL
1 - 2
HUR
44%
24%
33%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |