Birmingham City vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
29%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1931 |
SUN
1 - 0
BIR
67%
17%
16%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1931 |
GRI
4 - 1
BIR
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1931 |
CHL
1 - 0
BIR
43%
25%
33%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1931 |
BIR
1 - 2
MID
45%
23%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1931 |
WHU
1 - 2
BIR
64%
18%
17%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1931 |
WHU
1 - 4
BOL
63%
19%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1931 |
BOL
1 - 1
MAC
47%
23%
30%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1931 |
SUN
3 - 1
BOL
66%
18%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1931 |
BOL
6 - 2
SHE
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1931 |
DER
4 - 1
BOL
71%
16%
13%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |