Birmingham City vs Barnet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
14%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
14%
4.7%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 1
BIR
8%
17%
74%
|
79 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
PLY
0 - 5
BIR
12%
20%
68%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 0
BIR
15%
21%
64%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
BIR
2 - 2
BOR
79%
16%
6%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
BIR
2 - 2
BPO
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 4
CHA
17%
23%
60%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 2
BAR
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
4 - 0
AFC
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
SOU
3 - 0
BAR
61%
23%
16%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
HER
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |