Birmingham City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
29.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1980 |
BIR
3 - 1
ARS
33%
28%
39%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
WOL
1 - 0
BIR
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1980 |
NOR
2 - 2
BIR
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1980 |
BIR
1 - 1
WBA
41%
27%
31%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1980 |
BHA
2 - 2
BIR
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1980 |
MUD
3 - 3
ASV
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
ASV
4 - 0
SUN
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1980 |
CRY
0 - 1
ASV
36%
29%
35%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1980 |
ASV
2 - 1
WOL
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1980 |
ASV
0 - 2
EVE
61%
22%
16%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |