Birmingham City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
DER
4 - 2
BIR
75%
15%
9%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1976 |
BIR
1 - 1
COV
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
BIR
0 - 1
LIV
42%
29%
29%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1976 |
WHU
1 - 2
BIR
61%
21%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1976 |
BIR
1 - 1
NOR
60%
22%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
ASV
0 - 0
STO
41%
28%
32%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1976 |
LEI
2 - 2
ASV
57%
23%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
TOT
5 - 2
ASV
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1976 |
ASV
0 - 0
IPS
37%
28%
36%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1976 |
BUR
2 - 2
ASV
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |