Birmingham City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1965 |
EVE
1 - 1
BIR
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1965 |
BIR
1 - 1
SHE
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1965 |
BUR
2 - 0
BIR
65%
19%
17%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1965 |
BIR
1 - 0
TOT
28%
22%
50%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1964 |
WHU
2 - 1
BIR
70%
16%
14%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1965 |
CHL
1 - 1
ASV
73%
15%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1965 |
ASV
0 - 1
LIV
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1965 |
ASV
2 - 3
CHL
42%
23%
35%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1965 |
ASV
3 - 2
BPO
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1965 |
BBU
5 - 1
ASV
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |