Birmingham City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1964 |
ASV
0 - 3
BIR
60%
20%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1964 |
BIR
3 - 4
CHL
45%
23%
31%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1964 |
BPO
3 - 0
BIR
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1964 |
BIR
2 - 2
BBU
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1964 |
WOL
5 - 1
BIR
65%
19%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1964 |
ASV
0 - 3
BIR
60%
20%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1964 |
BOL
1 - 1
ASV
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1964 |
ASV
2 - 2
FUL
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1964 |
ASV
2 - 2
SHW
37%
24%
39%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1964 |
EVE
4 - 2
ASV
72%
16%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |