Birmingham City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1962 |
WOL
0 - 2
BIR
74%
15%
11%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1962 |
BIR
2 - 2
MAC
51%
21%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1962 |
WHU
5 - 0
BIR
63%
19%
19%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1962 |
LEI
3 - 0
BIR
69%
17%
15%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1962 |
BIR
4 - 1
FUL
54%
21%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1962 |
ASV
1 - 0
LEY
71%
17%
13%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1962 |
EVE
1 - 1
ASV
72%
16%
12%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1962 |
ASV
2 - 0
WBA
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1962 |
ASV
4 - 2
IPS
52%
22%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1962 |
NTT
3 - 1
ASV
50%
23%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |