Birmingham City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1962 |
CHL
1 - 1
BIR
56%
20%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1962 |
BIR
1 - 1
MUD
40%
22%
38%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1962 |
WOL
2 - 1
BIR
73%
15%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1962 |
BOL
3 - 2
BIR
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1962 |
BIR
1 - 0
ARS
54%
21%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1962 |
ASV
1 - 0
WBA
51%
23%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1962 |
TOT
2 - 0
ASV
85%
10%
5%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1962 |
SHW
3 - 0
ASV
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1962 |
ASV
2 - 0
FUL
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1962 |
ASV
0 - 0
TOT
35%
24%
42%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |