Birmingham City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
20%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1958 |
BIR
4 - 2
BPO
49%
22%
28%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1958 |
CHL
1 - 0
BIR
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1958 |
BIR
0 - 4
MUD
44%
22%
34%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1958 |
TOT
0 - 4
BIR
76%
14%
11%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1958 |
BIR
1 - 0
NEW
53%
21%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1958 |
ARS
1 - 2
ASV
68%
17%
15%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1958 |
ASV
1 - 1
MAC
45%
22%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1958 |
BUR
3 - 1
ASV
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1958 |
ASV
2 - 0
PNE
36%
24%
41%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1958 |
LEI
6 - 3
ASV
62%
18%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |