Birmingham City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
34.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1934 |
BIR
1 - 3
HUR
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1934 |
LEI
3 - 7
BIR
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1934 |
BIR
2 - 0
TOT
47%
24%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1934 |
ASV
1 - 1
BIR
75%
15%
10%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1934 |
BIR
0 - 3
CHL
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1934 |
EVE
2 - 2
ASV
56%
20%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1934 |
ASV
3 - 0
LEE
71%
16%
13%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1934 |
ASV
4 - 4
WBA
67%
17%
16%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1934 |
DER
1 - 1
ASV
56%
21%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1934 |
ASV
1 - 1
BIR
75%
15%
10%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |