Birmingham City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1922 |
ASV
1 - 1
BIR
78%
14%
9%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1922 |
MUD
1 - 1
BIR
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1922 |
BIR
0 - 1
MUD
51%
22%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1922 |
LIV
1 - 0
BIR
73%
17%
11%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1922 |
NEW
0 - 1
BIR
64%
21%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1922 |
ASV
1 - 1
BIR
78%
14%
9%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1922 |
ASV
3 - 4
NOT
86%
10%
5%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1922 |
NOT
2 - 2
ASV
29%
23%
47%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1922 |
ASV
2 - 0
HUR
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1922 |
ASV
2 - 0
SUN
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |