Birmingham City vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
49%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1986 |
LIV
5 - 0
BIR
85%
11%
4%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
BIR
0 - 2
SOU
29%
30%
40%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1986 |
TOT
2 - 0
BIR
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1986 |
NEW
4 - 1
BIR
71%
18%
12%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
BIR
0 - 2
LUT
29%
29%
42%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1986 |
ARS
2 - 0
CHL
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1986 |
ARS
2 - 2
WBA
69%
20%
12%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1986 |
SHW
2 - 0
ARS
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1986 |
ARS
0 - 1
EVE
32%
27%
41%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1986 |
ARS
1 - 1
NTT
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |