Birmingham City vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
NTT
5 - 1
BIR
67%
21%
13%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
BIR
0 - 2
QPR
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1984 |
MUD
1 - 0
BIR
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1984 |
BIR
2 - 1
ASV
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1984 |
BIR
0 - 0
NOT
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
ARS
3 - 2
TOT
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1984 |
EVE
0 - 0
ARS
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1984 |
ARS
3 - 1
STO
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1984 |
COV
1 - 4
ARS
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1984 |
ARS
4 - 1
WOL
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |