Birmingham City vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
32.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1982 |
NOT
1 - 4
BIR
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1982 |
TOT
1 - 1
BIR
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1982 |
BIR
2 - 1
SWA
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1982 |
WOL
1 - 1
BIR
51%
26%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1982 |
SUN
2 - 0
BIR
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1982 |
ARS
2 - 0
WHU
55%
25%
20%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1982 |
EVE
2 - 1
ARS
46%
26%
28%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1982 |
ARS
2 - 0
NTT
51%
27%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1982 |
ARS
1 - 3
TOT
43%
27%
30%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1982 |
BHA
2 - 1
ARS
43%
27%
31%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | -1 |