Birmingham City vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1979 |
MAC
3 - 1
BIR
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1979 |
EVE
1 - 0
BIR
72%
17%
10%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1979 |
BIR
1 - 1
WBA
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
BIR
0 - 2
NTT
32%
28%
40%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1979 |
IPS
3 - 0
BIR
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1979 |
ARS
1 - 1
NOR
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1979 |
ASV
5 - 1
ARS
51%
25%
25%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
DER
2 - 0
ARS
38%
27%
35%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1979 |
ARS
5 - 2
CHL
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
WBA
1 - 1
ARS
55%
24%
22%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |