Birmingham City vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
29.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1955 |
CAR
2 - 1
BIR
53%
22%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1955 |
BIR
5 - 0
HUR
55%
22%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1955 |
BPO
2 - 0
BIR
63%
20%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1955 |
BIR
3 - 0
CHL
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1955 |
WOL
1 - 0
BIR
80%
12%
8%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1955 |
ARS
0 - 1
BUR
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1955 |
PNE
0 - 1
ARS
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1955 |
ARS
2 - 1
SHE
63%
18%
18%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1955 |
MUD
1 - 1
ARS
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1955 |
ARS
2 - 4
CHA
62%
19%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |