Birmingham City vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
43.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1950 |
LIV
2 - 0
BIR
73%
17%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1950 |
BIR
1 - 2
SUN
30%
26%
45%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1949 |
BUR
1 - 1
BIR
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1949 |
DER
4 - 1
BIR
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
BIR
2 - 2
DER
24%
25%
51%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1950 |
ARS
1 - 1
BOL
76%
15%
10%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1950 |
ARS
1 - 0
HUR
74%
15%
11%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1949 |
LIV
2 - 0
ARS
52%
23%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1949 |
ARS
0 - 0
MUD
60%
20%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
MUD
2 - 0
ARS
60%
21%
19%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |