Birmingham City vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1926 |
LIV
2 - 1
BIR
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1926 |
BIR
2 - 0
LEE
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1926 |
NEW
5 - 1
BIR
65%
19%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1926 |
BIR
1 - 0
BUR
42%
25%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1926 |
CAR
1 - 0
BIR
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1926 |
ARS
1 - 0
BCF
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1926 |
WBA
1 - 3
ARS
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1926 |
ARS
2 - 3
SUN
50%
22%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1926 |
HUR
3 - 3
ARS
59%
22%
20%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1926 |
ARS
2 - 2
BBU
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |