Birmingham City vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1921 |
BOL
1 - 2
BIR
73%
16%
11%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1921 |
BIR
1 - 1
BOL
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1921 |
HUR
1 - 0
BIR
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1921 |
BIR
0 - 2
HUR
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1921 |
BIR
1 - 0
SUN
45%
24%
31%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1921 |
ARS
1 - 3
HUR
51%
25%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1921 |
HUR
2 - 0
ARS
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1921 |
ARS
1 - 2
SUN
42%
26%
33%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1921 |
SUN
1 - 0
ARS
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1921 |
ARS
1 - 0
EVE
50%
25%
24%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |