Birmingham City vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
22.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1908 |
SUN
1 - 0
BIR
75%
14%
10%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1908 |
BIR
1 - 0
NTT
57%
21%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1908 |
BIR
2 - 1
EVE
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1908 |
BIR
1 - 1
NEW
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1908 |
EVE
4 - 1
BIR
77%
14%
9%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1908 |
ARS
1 - 1
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1908 |
BBU
1 - 1
ARS
57%
21%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1908 |
ARS
1 - 0
MUD
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1908 |
NTT
1 - 0
ARS
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1908 |
ARS
0 - 0
CHL
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |