Birkirkara vs Zabbar St. Patrick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
3 - 3
BIR
44%
28%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
MOS
1 - 2
BIR
50%
23%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BIR
2 - 1
FUN
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
BIR
1 - 1
GZI
38%
25%
37%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
BIR
1 - 0
NAX
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Zabbar St. Patrick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HAM
3 - 1
ZAB
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
MOS
2 - 3
ZAB
61%
20%
18%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SEN
0 - 0
ZAB
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ZUR
1 - 4
ZAB
23%
26%
52%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ZAB
0 - 2
MEL
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |