Birkirkara vs Naxxar Lions FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
BIR
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BIR
1 - 1
BAL
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 2
BIR
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BIR
1 - 1
HIB
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
BIR
37%
29%
34%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Naxxar Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
NAX
1 - 1
BAL
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HIB
0 - 2
NAX
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
NAX
0 - 3
FLO
27%
27%
46%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SLU
1 - 0
NAX
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
NAX
0 - 1
GZI
26%
25%
48%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |