Birkirkara vs Msida St Joseph analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
10.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2009 |
SLI
0 - 3
BIR
45%
26%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
BIR
0 - 1
FLO
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
HIB
2 - 2
BIR
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
DIN
1 - 3
BIR
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
BIR
2 - 1
HAM
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Msida St Joseph
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
MSI
2 - 1
DIN
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2009 |
MSI
0 - 1
HIB
17%
22%
61%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
MSI
0 - 5
BAL
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
HAM
1 - 0
MSI
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
MSI
1 - 1
TAR
40%
25%
36%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |